(UPDATED: March 4, 2018)

The Oscars on March 4th closed out the seventh year of Every Movie Has a Lesson's "Awards Tracker."  My goal every year is simple: Help each and every one of you win your Oscar pools.  My high score was correctly guessing 20-out-of-24 back in 2014.  This year, I was 18-for-24.  I'll take that, but it's time to get back to the 20+ threshold.  Stick with me and we'll will some prizes together!

Here's how this little page of my personal interest works.  I find value in tracking the trends and following the tea leaves of the all the minor lead-up awards before the Oscars.  I chart the winners of each category with listed winners and comments on the surrounding buzz.  If you're a fan of high quality film and awards shows, there's no better time of the year and Every Movie Has a Lesson is here to make you sharper and smarter every step of the way.  Bookmark this page as I'll update these tallies often!


LATEST BUZZ:  Boy, it looked for a second like Get Out could swing an upset after Jordan Peele's screenplay win.  It was the same moment that sunk Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.  For the genre film scene, it is really something to see a strong fantasy entry, even one with a few dashes of Old Hollywood and Oscar bait sprinkles, get the top prizes.  It's been 15 long years since The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King as the last fantasy Best Picture. 


15- Get Out  (ATL, PHI, SD, SEA, AA, BO, KC, NC, OK, Online, SE, DC, AUS, PHI, Spirit)

11- Lady Bird  (NY, Chicago, CIFCC, CO, IN, VAN, NSFC, DEN, GA, HOU, IA)

9- The Shape of Water  (Venice, DFW, PCC, PHX, STL, EDA, CC, PGA, Oscar)

8- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri  (TIFF, LV, NV, PCC, Globe, London, Satellite, BAFTA)

4- The Florida Project  (NYO, SF, DET, TOR)

3- Call Me By Your Name  (GIFA, LA, GAL)

2- Mudbound   (NYO, BF)

2- The Post  (NBR, NT)

2- Dunkirk  (FL, DUB)

2- Phantom Thread   (Boston, VV)

1- A Ghost Story  (UT)

1- Crown Heights  (AA)

1- Logan  (CIFCC)

1- The Square  (Cannes)

1- I Don't Feel at Home in This World Anymore  (Sundance)


LATEST BUZZ:  Guillermo del Toro nets the Oscar double, following up Best Picture with his earlier win for Best Director, winning out of a very competitive field.  Between del Toro and Coco, our neighbors to the south had a fine showing.


17- Guillermo del Toro for The Shape of Water  (LA, SF, DFW, KC, LV, NV, NT, PHX, SE, STL, Globe, EDA, AUS, CC, DGA, BAFTA, Oscar)

10- Greta Gerwig for Lady Bird  (NBR, SD, CO, IN, TOR, NSFC, GA, HOU, IA, GAL)

10- Christopher Nolan for Dunkirk  (Chicago, ATL, SEA, FL, Online, PCC, UT, DC, DEN, DUB)

9- Jordan Peele for Get Out  (PHI, CIFCC, AA, BF, NC, OK, PHI, Satellite, Spirit)

4- Paul Thomas Anderson for Phantom Thread  (Boston, BO, VAN, VV)

3- Sean Baker for The Florida Project (NY, DET, London)

1- Luca Guadagnino for Call Me By Your Name  (LA)

1- Dee Rees for Mudbound  (ATL)

1- Joe Wright for Darkest Hour  (HFA)

1- Ruben Ostlund for The Square  (EFA)

1- Sofia Coppola for The Beguiled  (Cannes)

1- Eliza Hittman for Beach Rats  (Sundance)


LATEST BUZZ:  Folks will point to this as a resume win for Gary Oldman, but they need to watch Darkest Hour either for the first time or again.


23- Gary Oldman for Darkest Hour  (NYO, CIFCC, BF, CO, DFW, NV, NC, NT, OK, Online, PHX, SE, STL, DC, Globe, EDA, CC, DEN, IA, SAG, Satellite, BAFTA, Oscar)

13- Timothée Chalamet for Call Me By Your Name  (NY, LA, Chicago, ATL, BO, FL, KC, PCC, AUS, London, VV, GAL, Spirit)

7- James Franco for The Disaster Artist  (GIFA, DET, NV, Globe, CC, HOU, DUB)

6- Daniel Kaluuya for Get Out  (Boston, CIFCC, AA, LV, NSFC, GA)

4- Daniel Day-Lewis for Phantom Thread  (PHI, SEA, TOR, VAN)

2- Harry Dean Stanton for Lucky  (IN, Satellite)

1- Andy Serkis for War for the Planet of the Apes  (UT)

1- Tom Hanks for The Post  (NBR)

1- James McAvoy for Split  (SD)

1- Andy Serkis for War for the Planet of the Apes  (SF)

1- Jake Gyllenhaal for Stronger  (HFA)

1- Kamel El Basha for The Insult  (VIFF)

1- Joaquin Phoenix for You Were Never Really Here  (Cannes)


LATEST BUZZ:  Frances McDormand was a hurricane that couldn't be stopped.  Her performance in Martin McDonagh's film was a mic drop and so was her acceptance speech.  Her win and her moment was telegraphed perfectly.


20- Frances McDormand for Three Billboard Outside Ebbing, Missouri  (AA, BF, BO, DET, LV, NT, PCC, PHX, STL, TOR, DC, Globe, EDA, AUS, CC, SAG, London, BAFTA, Spirit, Oscar)

19- Sally Hawkins for The Shape of Water  (LA, ATL, PHI, SD, Boston, CO, DFW, KC, NV, NC, OK, Online, PCC, SE, UT, NSFC, HOU, Satellite, GAL)

12- Saoirse Ronan for Lady Bird  (GIFA, NY, Chicago, SEA, CIFCC, IN, VAN, Globe, DEN, GA, IA, VV)

5- Margot Robbie for I, Tonya  (NYO, SF, FL, CC, HFA)

2- Diane Kruger for In the Fade  (Cannes, Satellite)

1- Meryl Streep for The Post  (NBR)

1- Kate Winslet for Wonder Wheel  (HFA)

1- Charlotte Rampling for Hannah  (VIFF)


LATEST BUZZ:  A man with peers high and low, the groundswell of support for Sam Rockwell turned out to be undeniable.  He's a favorite actor of many.  I don't think Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri was his career best, but I can't deny his talent or the recognition it received.  Poor Willem Dafoe.  He had this award in the bag early, but too few people saw The Florida Project.  I don't know how many more bites at the apple a guy like Dafoe will have in his career.


28- Willem Dafoe for The Florida Project  (NBR, NY, LA, Chicago, ATL, NYO, SF, Boston, SEA, CIFCC, BF, BO, CO, DET, IN, KC, NC, OK, TOR, UT, VAN, NSFC, EDA, AUS, DEN, GA, IA, VV)

20- Sam Rockwell for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing  (SD, DFW, FL, LV, NV, NT, Online, PCC, PHX, SE, DC, Globe, CC, HOU, SAG, HFA, Satellite, BAFTA, Spirit, Oscar)

1- Michael Stuhlbarg for Call Me By Your Name  (GAL)

1- Hugh Grant for Paddington 2  (London)

1- Richard Jenkins for The Shape of Water  (STL)

1- Woody Harrelson for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing  (PHI)

1- Laurence Fishburne for Last Flag Flying  (AA)


LATEST BUZZ:  The reactions and result in this category mirror the male supporting one almost exactly.  Equal to Rockwell, Janney picked up a head of steam and never stopped.  She too is a popular choice among her fellow actors and had a zinger of a part that was flashier than Metcalf.  Like Dafoe, she too had this one early and it slipped away to different momentum.  Lady Bird ended up not winning a single Oscar, which is a second shame.  Hopefully, Lady Bird paved the way for Laurie to get more movie roles.


29- Laurie Metcalf for Lady Bird  (NBR, NY, Chicago, ATL, SD, SF, Boston, SEA, CIFCC, BO, CO, IN, KC, LV, NC, NT, OK, Online, PCC, SE, TOR, VAN, DC, NSFC, EDA, GA, IA, VV, GAL)

19- Allison Janney for I, Tonya  (NYO, PHI, SD, CIFCC, DFW, DET, FL, NV, PHX, Globe, AUS, CC, DEN, HOU, SAG, HFA, BAFTA, Spirit, Oscar)

2- Tiffany Haddish for Girls Trip  (NY, AA)

1- Lesley Manville for Phantom Thread  (London)

1- Lois Smith for Marjorie Prime  (Satellite)

1- Tatiana Maslany for Stonger  (UT)

1- Mary J. Blige for Mudbound  (BF)

BEST ENSEMBLE (non-Oscar category)

LATEST BUZZ:  The SAG winner in this category is a default Best Picture contender and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri continues its uncanny surge.  We'll see how it shakes out at the Oscars.  


12- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri  (ATL, CIFCC, FL, LV, Online, PHX, SE, DC, SAG, CC, GA)

6- Mudbound  (GIFA, NYO, SD, BF, EDA, Spirit)

3- Get Out  (NBR, SEA, BO)

1- The Florida Project  (IN)

1- The Post  (DET)

1- The Meyerowicz Stories  (Boston)

1- Detroit  (AA)

1- Lady Bird  (CO)

1- I, Tonya  (HFA)

1- The Big Sick  (HFA)


LATEST BUZZ:  This was the moment of the night when Get Out became the Best Picture contender it always was and the party ended for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.  Wonderful win for the right film of the right moment.  Excellent speech as well from Jordan Peele!


33- Jordan Peele for Get Out  (GIFA, LA, Chicago, ATL, NYO, PHI, SD, SF, CIFCC, AA, BF, BO, CO, FL, KC, NC, OK, Online, PCC, SE, TOR, UT, VAN, DC, EDA, AUS, CC, DEN, GA, DUB, WGA, GAL, Oscar)

10- Martin McDonagh for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri  (VIFF, DET, LV, NV, PCC, PHX, Globe, London, Satellite, BAFTA)

9- Greta Gerwig for Lady Bird  (Boston, SEA, DFW, IN, PCC, NSFC, HOU, VV, Spirit)

2- Paul Thomas Anderson for Phantom Thread  (NBR, NY)

1- Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor for The Shape of Water  (STL)

1- Lynne Ramsey for You Were Never Really Here  (Cannes)

1- David Branson Smith and Matt Spicer for Ingrid Goes West  (Sundance)


LATEST BUZZ:  A win for Ivory cements a distinguished career after four previous nominations as half of the famed Merchant/Ivory team.  This feels like a proper resume win over the upstarts and silliness of The Disaster Artist.  The Writers Guild of America pushed Ivory ahead in this race with the important guild win.


15- James Ivory for Call Me By Your Name  (Chicago, FL, KC, LV, OK, Online, SE, EDA, AUS, CC, DEN, USC, WGA, BAFTA, Oscar)

10- Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber for The Disaster Artist  (NBR, SD, CIFCC, NV, NC, PHX, STL, GA, HFA, Satellite)

3- Virgil Williams and Dee Rees for Mudbound  (BF, CO, DC)

2- Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green for Logan  (IN, KC)

1- Hampton Fancher and Michael Green for Blade Runner 2049  (UT)

1- Aaron Sorkin for Molly's Game  (NC)

1- Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthymis Filippou for The Killing of a Sacred Deer  (Cannes)


LATEST BUZZ:  The lock of the night remained just that.  There was no way Coco was losing.


44- Coco  (NBR, NY, Chicago, ATL, NYO, SF, Boston, SEA, CIFCC, AA, BF, BO, CO, DFW, FL, IN, KC, LV, NV, NC, NT, OK, Online, PCC, PHX, SE, STL, UT, DC, Globe, EDA, AUS, CC, DEN, GA, HOU, IA, PGA, HFA, Annie, Satellite, VV, BAFTA, Oscar)

3- The Breadwinner  (LA, TOR, Annie)

2- Loving Vincent  (EDA, EFA)

1- The LEGO Batman Movie  (DET)


LATEST BUZZ:  "Academy Award winner Kobe Bryant."  How does that sound?  Imagine how big that man's ego grew from where it already was.


1- Dear Basketball  (Oscar)

1- Poles Apart  (BAFTA)


LATEST BUZZ:  Dekalb Elementary would have been nice, but I can see why The Silent Child won.  Big message and the most cinematic of the live-action shorts.  It's a fair winner for sure.


1- The Silent Child  (Oscar)

1- Timecode  (EFA)

1- Cowboy Dave  (BAFTA)


LATEST BUZZ:  The Best Documentary Feature race has become increasingly scattered every year.  Favorites, frontrunners, and majority favorites get smoked with no warning, if they even get nominated.  2018 was no different with Icarus winning its first award all season on Oscar night.  A category this prestigious and high up the ladder shouldn't be a dartboard category.


18- Jane  (CC, NBR, Chicago, ATL, SD, FL, KC, LV, NV, NT, SE, STL, UT, DC, GA, HOU, IA, PGA)

17- Faces Places  (TIFF, NY, LA, SF, SEA, CIFCC, BO, CO, Online, TOR, NSFC, EDA, AUS, DEN, VV, GAL, Spirit)

3- Strong Island  (GIFA, BF, EYE)

3- City of Ghosts  (DFW, PCC, PHX)

2- Kedi   (ATL, NC)

2- Dina  (Sundance, IDA)

2- I Am Not Your Negro  (London, BAFTA)

1- Icarus  (Oscar)

1- Chasing Coral  (Satellite)

1- Ex Libris: The New York Public Library  (VAN)

1- Let it Fall: Los Angeles 1982-1992  (IN)

1- Jim & Andy: The Great Beyond  (DET)

1- Bombshell: The Hedy LaMarr Story  (NYO)

1- Dawson City: Frozen Time  (Boston)

1- Step (AA)

1- Oklahoma City  (OK)

1- The Farthest  (DUB)

1- Communion  (EFA)

1- Can't Stop, Won't Stop: Bad Boy Story  (HFA)


LATEST BUZZ:  The International Documentary Association (IDA) winner, Edith+Eddie, lost to the only other IDA nominee that made the Oscar field.  The blindfolded dart landed on Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405.


1- Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405  (Oscar)

1- Edith+Eddie  (IDA)


LATEST BUZZ:  In this end, I was right on two things: my pick and the trend.  This category has become as inconsistent with frontrunners and favorites as Best Documentary Feature.  Pickiness aside, A Fantastic Woman had itself a hell of a weekend winning both the Independent Spirit Award and the Oscar.  Bravo to a fine film and glass ceiling-breaker for transgender performances!


1o- BPM (Beats Per Minute)   (NY, LA, ATL, SF, CO, FL, Online, VAN, DC, GAL)

8- The Square  (Chicago, Boston, DFW, OK, TOR, EDA, GA, EFA)

5- In the Fade  (NYO, KC, Globe, CC, Satellite)

5- First They Killed My Father  (BO, LV, PHX, SE, HFA)

4- Raw  (SEA, CIFCC, NT, PCC)

4- Thelma  (SD, UT, DEN, HOU)

2- A Fantastic Woman  (Spirit, Oscar)

2- Graduation  (PHI, NSFC)

2- Okja  (NC, AUS)

1- Land of Mine  (STL)

1- Foxtrot  (NBR)

1- Faces Places  (IN)

1- Loveless  (LA)

1- The Wound  (AA)

1- Elle  (London)

1- The Handmaiden  (BAFTA)


LATEST BUZZ:  This was the "finally" moment of the night for true cinephiles.  Roger Deakins, maybe the best living cinematographer, won his first Oscar after 13 previous nominations.  This was buried-library-book overdue.  Wonderful moment!


29- Roger Deakins for Blade Runner 2049  (Chicago, PHI, SF, SEA, CIFCC, BF, BO, CO, FL, LV, NV, NC, NT, Online, PCC, PHX, STL, DC, NSFC, EDA, AUS, CC, HOU, DUB, HFA, Satellite, ASC, BAFTA, Oscar)

5- Hoyte van Hoytema for Dunkirk  (ATL, SD, Boston, SE, GA)

3- Dan Laustsen for The Shape of Water  (LA, NYO, DFW)

1- Rachel Morrison for Mudbound  (NY)

1- Sayombhu Mukdeeprom for Call Me by Your Name  (Spirit)

1- Mart Taniel for November  (ASC)


LATEST BUZZ:  This was quite the coin toss between two films that split their guild awards.  The clout of the film leading in nominations won out.  I still think Blade Runner 2049 was the better work, but, hey, it happens.


11- Blade Runner 2049  (LA, Chicago, SEA, CIFCC, FL, LV, DC, GA, HFA, London, ADG)

10- The Shape of Water  (SD, SF, NV, PHX, STL, CC, ADG, Satellite, BAFTA, Oscar)

1- Logan  (ADG)

1- Coco  (ADG)


LATEST BUZZ:  I should have pushed my chips in on Dunkirk after the ACE Eddie Award tipped the scale towards Dunkirk.  This was a mild surprise over Baby Driver, which went award-less.  This gave Dunkirk three wins, an unexpectedly sizable total.


10- Baby Driver  (Chicago, SD, CIFCC, CO, LV, STL, DC, CC, BAFTA)

9- Dunkirk  (LA, SEA, BO, Online, PHX, EDA, CC, ACE, Oscar)

2- I, Tonya  (ACE, Spirit)

1- War for the Planet of the Apes  (Satellite)

1- The Shape of Water  (HFA)

1- A Ghost Story  (Boston)

1- Coco  (ACE)


LATEST BUZZ:  Come on.  Was the film that highlighted lavish handmade gowns really going to lose the Best Costume Design category?  No, it wasn't, and this counts as the one bone thrown to Paul Thomas Anderson's film all night.


7- Phantom Thread  (SD, SEA, CIFCC, CC, Satellite, BAFTA, Oscar)

3- Beauty and the Beast  (SD, PHX, HFA)

1- I, Tonya  (CDG)

1- The Shape of Water  (CDG)

1- Wonder Woman  (CDG)

1- Darkest Hour  (HFA)

1- Blade Runner 2049  (LV)


LATEST BUZZ:  In this unnecessarily thin category of three nominees, Darkest Hour wasn't going to lose.  It closed the season before the Oscars with the top wins from the Makeup and Hair-Styling Guild Awards as well.


3- Darkest Hour  (CC, MHG, Oscar)

2- Phantom Thread  (CIFCC, BAFTA)

1- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2  (MHG)

1- Beauty and the Beast  (HFA)

1- I, Tonya  (MHG)

1- Pitch Perfect 3  (MHG)


LATEST BUZZ:  I'm not going to lie.  This one pissed me off.  Blade Runner 2049 had fine effects, no doubt.  But for the reimagined Planet of the Apes trilogy to lose this category three times over the years is outrageous.  


9- War for the Planet of the Apes  (SD, SEA, CIFCC, NC, PHX, CC, DEN, HFA, VES)

7- Blade Runner 2049  (FL, LV, NV, STL, HOU, Satellite, Oscar)

1- Coco  (VES)

1- Dunkirk  (VES)


LATEST BUZZ:   Dunkirk was an easy pick here and for mixing too.  This one went chalk with no surprises.


2- Dunkirk  (Satellite, BAFTA)

1- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2  (HFA)


LATEST BUZZ:  The 54th annual Cinema Audio Society Awards on February 24th awarded Dunkirk with the top sound mixing award and the Oscars followed suit.  With three total Oscars, Dunkirk had itself a nice little night.


4- Dunkirk  (Satellite, BAFTA, CAS, Oscar)

1- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2  (HFA)

1- Coco  (CAS)


LATEST BUZZ:  Resume clout won this one.  Alexandre Desplat is one of the best five composers working today.  His opening credits theme for The Shape of Water is extraordinary, but that's where most of the film's score ends.  By comparison, Jonny Greenwood's ignored work on Phantom Thread was unique, poignant, and filled the entire film with variance and perfect tone.  Robbery, I tell you.


13- Alexandre Desplat for The Shape of Water  (BO, CO, DFW, IN, LV, PHX, UT, Globe, AUS, CC, HOU, BAFTA, Oscar)

9- Jonny Greenwood for Phantom Thread  (LA, Chicago, SF, Boston, SEA, CIFCC, BO, PCC, STL)

4- Hans Zimmer and Benjamin Wallfisch for Blade Runner 2049  (FL, DC, DEN, GA)

1- Rupert Gregson-Williams for Wonder Woman  (Satellite)

1- Michael Giacchino for Coco  (PHI)

1- Carter Burwell for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri  (IA)

1- Thomas Newman for Victoria and Abdul  (HFA)


LATEST BUZZ:  Sorry The Greatest Showman, but simple, folksy, and ethnic nostalgia won over the showstopping ceiling rattler.  I ain't mad about it at all.  I called "Remember Me" the best song to date from a Pixar film and I stand by that.


8- "Remember Me" from Coco  (LV, PHX, CC, DEN, GA, HOU, IA, Oscar)

2- "Stand Up for Something" from Marshall  (HFA, Satellite)

1- "This is Me" from The Greatest Showman  (Globe)

1- "It Ain't Far" from Detroit  (AA)


African-American Film Critics Association (AA), ACE Eddie Awards (ACE), Art Directors Guild Awards (ADG), Annie Awards (Annie), American Society of Cinematographers (ASC), Atlanta Film Critics (ATL), Austin Film Critics Association (AUS), British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA), Black Film Critics Circle (BF), Boston Society of Film Critics (Boston), Boston Online Film Critics Association (BO), Cannes Film Festival (Cannes), Cinema Audio Society (CAS), Costume Designers Guild (CDG), Chicago Film Critics Association (Chicago), Chicago Independent Film Critics Circle (CIFCC), Broadcast Film Critics Association/Critics Choice Awards (CC), Columbus/Central Ohio Film Critics Associations (CO), Washington D.C. Area Film Critics Association (DC), Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association (DFW), Denver Film Critics Society (DEN), Detroit Film Critics Society (DET), Directors Guild of America (DGA), Dublin Film Critics Circle (DUB), Alliance of Women Film Journalists/EDA Awards (EDA), European Film Awards (EFA), Cinema Eye Awards (EYE), Florida Film Critics Circle (FL), Georgia Film Critics Association (GA), Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association/Dorian Awards (GAL), Gotham Independent Film Awards (GIFA), Hollywood Foreign Press Association/Golden Globes (Globe), Hollywood Film Awards (HFA), Houston Film Critics Society (HOU), Iowa Film Critics Association (IA), Indiana Film Journalist Associations (IN), International Documentary Association (IDA), Kansas City Film Critics Circle (KC), Los Angeles Film Critics Association (LA), London Film Critics Circle (London), Las Vegas Film Critics Association/Sierra Winners (LV), Makeup and Hair-styling Guild (MHG), National Board of Review (NBR), North Carolina Film Critics Association (NC), National Society of Film Critics (NSFC), North Texas Film Critics Association (NT), Nevada Film Critics Society (NV), New York Film Critics Circle (NY), New York Online Film Critics Association (NYO), Oklahoma Film Critics Circle (OK), Online Film Critics Association (Online), The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences/Academy Awards (Oscar), Producers Guild of America (PGA), Philadelphia Film Critics Circle (PHI), Phoenix Critic Circle (PCC), Phoenix Film Critics Society (PHX), Screen Actors Guild Awards (SAG), International Press Academy/Satellite Awards (Satellite), San Diego Film Critics Society (SD), San Francisco Film Critics Circle (SF), Southeastern Film Critics Association (SE), Seattle Film Critics Society (SEA), Independent Spirit Awards (Spirit), St. Louis Film Critics (STL), Sundance Film Festival (Sundance), Toronto International Film Festival (TIFF), Toronto Film Critics Association (TOR), USC Libraries Scripter Award (USC), Utah Film Critics Association (UT), Vancouver Critics Circle (VAN), Venice International Film Festival (VIFF), Visual Effects Society Awards (VES), Village Voice Film Critics Poll (VV), Writers Guild of America (WGA)